Friday, January 30, 2015

TAXI 30Jan2015 IDX bullish Div.forming

The Most Powerful Signal in Technical Analysis is Bullish Divergence. (A. E.)

TAXI Weekly Bar Chart (Strategic Decision) become Bulls or Bears


  • MACD-Histogram
    • 1st Bullish Divergence
      • A: the Bears are exceptionally strong, indicate by MACD-H reach new multiyear lows
      • B: MACD-H rally breaking the back of the bears
      • C: the Price is reaching new low but MACD-H make higher lows compare to area A
      • MACD-H gives buys signal when it ticks up from area C
    • 2nd Bullish Divergence (not completed)
      • AorC - D - E
      • When MACD-H ticks up at E, buys TAXI with 2% risk
      • Target is the value zone around 1,100
  • 13EMA(yellow), 26EMA(red)
    • Price is well below the value zone(an area in between the two moving averages), Bearish
  • Bollinger Band
    • Price is outside the lower channel, indicating price is relatively at bargain a.k.a cheap
  • Conclusion
    • Get ready to become Bulls, wait for MACD-H signal

TAXI Daily Chart (Tactical Decision) Timing the Entry Point

  • MACD-Histogram
    • 1
      • A: MACD-H reaching new multii month lows, indicating that bears is strong the price is likely to be retested or exceeded
      • B: price is rallying and the MACD-H turn positive (breaking the back of the bears)
      • C: Price is declining but MACD-H makes higher low than A
      • Bullish divergence is completed when the MACD-H ticks up, giving the buy signal
      • The target is value zone (an area between 13EMA and 26EMA)
    • 2?
      • A-D-E
      • MACD-Histogram is still down
      • BUY when it ticks Up
  • 13EMA(yellow), 26EMA(red)
    • Price is well below the value zone(an area in between the two moving averages), Bearish
  • Bollinger Band
    • Price below the lower Bollinger Band indicating that price is relatively cheap
  • Conclusion
    • Get ready to be BULL when MACD-H ticks up
    • Target at value zone 1,100
    • Stop at previous Lows
All trading technique I used for this trade thats about to happen comes from Alexander Elder in his books Trading for a Living  and Come into my trading room.

Every trade that I take, there must be a STOP order, in order to anticipate some unexpected events that the trade is not going in my way.

I can not predict the future, but I can tell what the indicators are saying what is likely to happen, based on the previous history.

Must Keep Learning And Reads ALOOTTTT of BOOKs

TAXI ENTRY

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

TAXI.jk, Second Bullish Divergence Forming? 28Jan2015

Chart:

  • Bar Chart of TAXI.jk, indonesian stock
  • MACD-H (26,12,9)
  • MACD-Line (26,12,9)
Bullish Divergence def.
       A bullish divergence consists of two price bottoms separated by a rally, with the second bottom lower than the first. At the same time an indicator traces a similar pattern, crossing above the zero line between two bottoms, only its second bottom is higher than the first. (Alexander Elder)

a-b-c (bullish divergence)
  • bottom a is much higher than bottom c separated by b, but the price at a much lower than c
  • Bullish div. complete when MACD-H ticks up, it gives b. sig. (buy signal)
a-d-e (bullish divergence?)
  • bottom e macd-h is still going down
  • buy when macd-h ticks up?